2021 UEFA Champions League odds, picks: European soccer model reveals best bets for Lazio vs. Bayern Munich

Rober MONACO - NOVEMBER 21: Timo Werner of RB Leipzig celebrates scoring his sides second goal during the UEFA Champions League group G match between AS Monaco and RB Leipzig at Stade Louis II on November 21, 2017 in Monaco, Monaco.
MONACO – NOVEMBER 21: Timo Werner of RB Leipzig celebrates scoring his sides second goal during the UEFA Champions League group G match between AS Monaco and RB Leipzig at Stade Louis II on November 21, 2017 in Monaco, Monaco.

Defending champion Bayern Munich remains one of the favorites to win the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League title, but it no longer appears invincible as it heads to Rome to face Lazio on Tuesday in the first leg of the Round of 16. The champions are fresh off a frustrating 2-1 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt but remain atop the Bundesliga standings, and they can still score in bunches. Lazio, meanwhile, is sixth in Italy’s Serie A, and elite scorer Ciro Immobile could find holes in Bayern’s defense to make this an entertaining affair. 

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy. Bayern is being listed as the -155 money line favorite in the latest Bayern Munich vs. Lazio odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before you make any Lazio vs. Bayern Munich picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proprietary European soccer model.

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Created by two Norwegians — professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim — the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up more than $8,900.

The model also made some strong calls in the final group stage of the Champions League, correctly predicting RB Leipzig (+150) defeating Manchester United, Sevilla (+135) knocking off Rennes and Liverpool playing to a draw (+275) with Midtjylland.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lazio vs. Bayern Munich. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several odds and trends for Bayern Munich vs. Lazio:Bayern Munich vs. Lazio spread: Bayern -0.5Bayern Munich vs. Lazio over-under: 3.5 goalsBayern Munich vs. Lazio money line: Bayern -155, Lazio +375BM: F Kingsley Coman has three goals and two assists in four UCL matches.LAZ: F Ciro Immobile has five goals in the six Champions League games.Why you should back Bayern Munich

The squad hasn’t seen a significant change in personnel since its dominant run in the Champions League last year, and scoring is still the name of the game. Bayern has plenty of firepower and has scored 62 goals in the Bundesliga, 17 more than any other team. Robert Lewandowski leads the league with 26 goals, eight clear of No. 2 Andre Silva. 

Thomas Muller is one of the team’s top playmakers, scoring 10 goals and sharing the league lead of 10 assists with teammate Joshua Kimmick. Kingsley Coman is right behind with nine, and Leroy Sane has seven to go with his four goals. Bayern has yielded a lot of goals, but it has a top keeper in Manuel Neuer and experienced defenders in David Alaba and Jerome Boateng. Why you should back Lazio

Immobile has the speed and finishing ability to exploit Bayern Munich on the counter-attack. Bayern has conceded 31 goals in 22 matches, so Lazio shouldn’t have a lot of trouble getting on the scoreboard. Lazio has scored in 22 of its 23 games in Serie A action and has not been held off the score sheet since October. Immobile is tied for third in Serie A with 14 goals. 

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is a critical piece to the Lazio attack, tying for the league lead with eight assists and chipping in five goals. Luis Alberto can also do damage, posting seven goals, including the winner in a 1-0 victory against Sampdoria the last time out. Lazio’s defense has limited high-powered attacks in Serie A, and goalkeeper Pepe Reina is as experienced as they come. How to make Champions League picks for Lazio vs. Bayern Munich

The model is leaning under on the total, and it has also locked in its projected final score and spread pick. You can only get these picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Bayern Munich vs. Lazio? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Lazio vs. Bayern Munich money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that’s up more than $8,900.

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